Quote:
Originally Posted by Joshua
. All this talk about "reaches" is somewhat silly to me, aside from the possibility of being able to trade back (and get more picks) and still get your guy
|
I am not a big fan of the reach thing either. In some cases I think it is warranted, but like you said all that matters is if the pick works out in the end. Brown's a good example. The Texans were widely blasted for reaching. Kiper had him projected to go much later, but if the Texans thought he was a guy who could plat LT for them, and do it very soon and at a high level....then take him. Now we find out that a least one other team was ready to take him in the first and we look pretty smart. How he plays is the only deciding factor.
We spend so much time reading guys like Kiper, McShay, RoyP, and all the rest that we just assume that their projections are correct in regards to draft position. The fact is there is absolutely no way to know how much farther a guy would have fallen if someone didn't reach. Hell, I thought the Miami pick for Ginn was stupid because I didn't think he would be that great in the NFL, but if Miami passes up on him who's to say that someone else might have picked him three or four spots later and he wouldn't have been available for them later. You could try and predict it, but the predictions were already wrong once.
Teams draft boards differ from team to team, and I'm sure are quite a bit different than the "experts". If a guys at the top of your board you take him. If he fails it's because your scouting failed, not becuase you reached.