Official Texans @ Bengals Game Thread, 11/16/2015

[Arky]

The 3-5 Texans travel to Cincinnati to take on the 8-0 Bengals this Monday night in a prime time affair. The Bengals are coming off Thursday night home win over the Browns 31-10 and thus will have extra rest for the contest.

The Texans, coming off their bye week, will have additional rest time and will need it as the they will be big underdogs. Walterfootball came up with this trend regarding undefeated teams, large spreads and prime time:

..............It sort of makes sense that teams laying two-plus touchdowns wouldn't show up, but that's a small sample size and doesn't apply to any squad this week. So, let's try a different approach:

On National TV: 9-3 ATS

Whoa, here we go. Undefeated teams might be lazy when being favored by a ton against poor opponents, but not if they're showcased in a prime-time affair. These teams have gotten up for the national stage, and predictably so. The three exceptions were the 2007 Patriots, who were favored by 23.5 over the Eagles and 20 at Baltimore, but didn't cover either; and the Colts, who battled rival New England in 2009. Every other occurrence covered, which bodes well for the Bengals on Monday night.

So, doesn't look good for the Texans to cover the spread much less win the game..... :/

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TV = ESPN, 7:30 pm, Monday, October 16

Announcers = Mike Turico, John Gruden

The line = Bengals by 10 to 12

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Sunday viewing in the Houston area:

CBS (early) = Miami @ Philadelphia -- Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon

CBS (late) = Kansas City @ Denver -- Greg Gumbel, Trent Green

FOX (early) = Dallas @ Tampa Bay -- Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch

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Other prime time:

TNF = Buffalo @ New York Jets (NFLN)

SNF = Arizona @ Seattle (NBC)

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Teams on bye: Atlanta, Indianapolis, San Diego, San Francisco

[Arky]

I think no one is going with the Texans to win straight up tonight.... The ESPN "experts" and everyone else are all onboard the Bengal bandwagon.... Yesterday, the Lions vs. GB were in similar position - underdog, big spread, etc... Jason LaCanfora actually picked the Lions to pull off the upset and got it right. I don't think anyone saw that coming....Would probably be asking the football gods too much for a "one mo' time"....

Against the spread, there are a few who like the Texans - Prediction Machine thinks the Bengals will win by 9. Also, some betting site that has a weekly interview on Sportsradio610 likes the Texans to cover....

In this video, one guy is leaning Texans, the other guy is leaning Bengals (ATS).

And in this video, the "sharp" likes the Texans to cover the spread.....

[WMH]

Originally Posted by Arky

I think no one is going with the Texans to win straight up tonight.... The ESPN "experts" and everyone else are all onboard the Bengal bandwagon.... Yesterday, the Lions vs. GB were in similar position - underdog, big spread, etc... Jason LaCanfora actually picked the Lions to pull off the upset and got it right. I don't think anyone saw that coming....Would probably be asking the football gods too much for a "one mo' time"....

Against the spread, there are a few who like the Texans - Prediction Machine thinks the Bengals will win by 9. Also, some betting site that has a weekly interview on Sportsradio610 likes the Texans to cover....

In this video, one guy is leaning Texans, the other guy is leaning Bengals (ATS).

And in this video, the "sharp" likes the Texans to cover the spread.....

My glass is usually half full, so I'll go with the any given Sunday mantra until kick off. My hope is that the game is entertaining enough for me to want to stay up and watch the 4th quarter.........

Sad place to be, but that's about where I'm at this year.

[Arky]

Texans win the toss and defer. Bengals to receive.

Bengals bring the kickoff back to their 21.

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Bengals ball at their 21.

Hill for a couple, flag down..... holding on Bengals, -10. Makes it 1st and 20 coming up.

Pass to Jones gets about 16.

Pass to Green gets 6 or 7 and the 1st down.

Pass to Green in the flat gets 5. 2nd and 5 coming up.

Flags presnap..... Offsides Bengals, -5. Makes it 2nd and 10 coming up.

Hill for 5 or 6. 3rd and 5 coming up.

Dalton pressured, throws it short, inc. Bengals will have to punt.

Mumph brings the punt back to the Texan 22.

[Arky]

Texans ball at their 22.

Pass to Hop is caught out of bounds, inc. Hop gets called for PI.....Makes it 1st and 20.

Blue for 4 yards. 2nd and 16 coming up.

Pass to Griffin is dropped, inc. 3rd and 16 coming up.

Handoff to Grimes gets 9. Texans have to punt.

Bengals return the punt to about their 24.

[Arky]

Bengals ball at their 24.

Eeesh, deep ball to Jones draws the PI on KJo. 29 yards on the penalty.

Dalton scrambles for 7.

Hill caught for a loss of 1.

Flags presnap. False start Bengals, -5. Makes it 3rd and 9 coming up at the Texans 46.

Dalton pressured, throws it away, inc. Bengals have to punt.

Mumph fair catches at the Texan 17.

[Big Texas]

Offense still sucks...they should just stop running...or pass to set up the run

[Arky]

Texans ball at their 17.

8:30 left in the 1st qtr.

Blue for 4.

Blue caught for a loss of 2. 3rd and 8 coming up.

Hoyer sacked at the 10 yard line. Texans will have to punt.

Jones brings the punt back all the way to the Texan 30 or so but a flag is down.....Offsetting penalties... replay the down....

Jones brings the punt back to about the Bengal 48.

[Big Texas]

Wait to start off the first possession with a drop and offensive pass interference.

[Big Texas]

Defense is playing there asses off...offense needs to step it up.