Pick's Picks 2012

[barrett]

Originally Posted by Roy P

I am pretty sure that I am the only guy around who likes QB Austin Davis. Considering Matt Flynn & Ryan Fitzpatrick were 7th round picks, that seems like a good spot.

QBs taken in Round 7 the last 4 years.

Who are Levi Brown, Sean Canfield, Zac Robinson, Greg McElroy, Matt Flynn, and Alex Brink.

There is nothing about round 7 that indicates a QB can play and plenty about it that says he can't.

[HPF Bob]

What it says about QBs in Round 7 is what is says about practically anyone in Round 7. They have a >30% chance of making the roster and probably an >10% chance of being a productive starter but you've got to draft someone so you might as well take an educated guess and go with your gut on someone who probably won't pan out but, under the right conditions, just might.

The other use of a 7th is for exotic positions like FB, P, PK, LS whom every team needs (well, maybe not FB) but are for specialty positions where you'll only carry one. Most teams will either find one in free agency or very late in the draft. Some tend to see a 3rd quarterback in the same light.

[barrett]

Originally Posted by HPF Bob

What it says about QBs in Round 7 is what is says about practically anyone in Round 7. They have a >30% chance of making the roster and probably an >10% chance of being a productive starter but you've got to draft someone so you might as well take an educated guess and go with your gut on someone who probably won't pan out but, under the right conditions, just might.

The other use of a 7th is for exotic positions like FB, P, PK, LS whom every team needs (well, maybe not FB) but are for specialty positions where you'll only carry one. Most teams will either find one in free agency or very late in the draft. Some tend to see a 3rd quarterback in the same light.

I agree %100 Bob. The 7th is as good for a QB as for anything else. But obviously the huge majority of those guys don't pan out. I was just pointing out that listing Fitzpatrick (moderately successful) and Flynn (not yet successful) as proof of the 7th round being great for QBs disregarded that the huge majority of 7th round QBs don't pan out.

[Nconroe]

Roy, on your board, approximately at what numbers are the breaks between rounds.

Just two more days.

[Roy P]

Originally Posted by Nconroe

Roy, on your board, approximately at what numbers are the breaks between rounds.

Just two more days.

1-11 are 1st rounders
12-18 2nd round
19-30 3rd round
31-39 4th round
Anyone's guess after that