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  #1  
Old 03-14-2012, 07:34 AM
nunusguy nunusguy is offline
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OK so this guy goes out and blows all of his cash plus going deeply into debt to purchase a brand new Maserati leaving himself without even enough money to make his mortgage payment so that his house is now repossessed and he's no longer got a house (with a garage) to park his brand new prize vehicle. Is this what Rick Smith has done, put himself in a crappy neighborhood in a rental and his new car parked out in front on the curb, and if so how could he make such a
miscalculation ?
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  #2  
Old 03-14-2012, 08:42 AM
Nconroe Nconroe is offline
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I think with new cba it is more like your at an auction and several buyers are willing to overpay. Good for good players. Probably not good for the average of 500 plus FA this year.
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  #3  
Old 03-14-2012, 09:30 AM
nunusguy nunusguy is offline
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Originally Posted by Nconroe View Post
I think with new cba it is more like your at an auction and several buyers are willing to overpay.
But that's nothing new, it's always been the case where there's a team or two which would over pay for a certain free agent. It seems to me that it's part of the GMs job to anticipate that and lock up his key players before they have a chance to hit free agency ?
Unless you think that Rick Smith believes he can plug just anybody into the Texans' zone-blocking OLine and make it work, it's a disaster if he's misjudged this free agency so badly that the Texans lose 60 % of their OLine in this offseason.
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Old 03-14-2012, 08:46 AM
Joshua Joshua is offline
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Originally Posted by nunusguy View Post
OK so this guy goes out and blows all of his cash plus going deeply into debt to purchase a brand new Maserati leaving himself without even enough money to make his mortgage payment so that his house is now repossessed and he's no longer got a house (with a garage) to park his brand new prize vehicle. Is this what Rick Smith has done, put himself in a crappy neighborhood in a rental and his new car parked out in front on the curb, and if so how could he make such a
miscalculation ?
I think it was LZ who tweeted that the Texans are in cap hell right now. What I don't understand is how. OK, that's not entirely accurate, I do somewhat understand how but it shouldn't be the case. If you were to make a list of the most important/best guys on this team, I suspect that, in random order, it would look something like this:

Arian Foster
Andre Johnson
Duane Brown
Brian Cushing
Johnathan Joseph
J.J. Watt
Mario Williams
Chris Myers
Matt Schaub
Connor Barwin
Owen Daniels
Brooks Reed

Of that list, 5 are still on their rookie contracts and are considerably underpaid (especially the late 1st rounders and 2nd rounders). And Foster was in that camp as of last week as well. 2 are free agents right now (Myers and Mario) with several more to become free agents next year (Brown, Schaub, Barwin).

To date, the core of our team has been very cheap and virtually none of them are locked up long term. The Texans should be in a great cap situation. With the exception of Joseph, AJ, and now Foster, they were getting all of their good players on the cheap. Unfortunately, the warm fuzzies produced by this season are starting to wear off and I may be returning to my pessimistic ways.
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  #5  
Old 03-14-2012, 09:34 AM
popanot popanot is offline
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Of that list, 5 are still on their rookie contracts and are considerably underpaid (especially the late 1st rounders and 2nd rounders). And Foster was in that camp as of last week as well. 2 are free agents right now (Myers and Mario) with several more to become free agents next year (Brown, Schaub, Barwin).

To date, the core of our team has been very cheap and virtually none of them are locked up long term. The Texans should be in a great cap situation. With the exception of Joseph, AJ, and now Foster, they were getting all of their good players on the cheap. Unfortunately, the warm fuzzies produced by this season are starting to wear off and I may be returning to my pessimistic ways.
And you can add into the equation that AJ has renegotiated twice to help out the cap situation. I don't get it either. Where is this $$ being spent? OD re-signed recently and I guess they had to pay well for A. Smith, but come on, it's not like this roster is studded with high-priced vets and FAs.

Now, I'm not down on Smith or the Texans for not being players in FA this year. I'm glad they're not, actually. However, I'm HUGELY down on him for getting us into this situation and possibly losing some of our key guys (OL). These are guys that are on the 'lower-end' payscale by NFL standards. Even worse is the fact next year is going to be downright scary if they can't figure it out. We have some big names coming up for new contracts. D. Brown alone is going to get a king's ransom.
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  #6  
Old 03-14-2012, 09:54 AM
WMH WMH is offline
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Ben Tate on the move? http://t.co/5IK60yQn -- Dave Richard (@daverichard)
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  #7  
Old 03-14-2012, 10:07 AM
popanot popanot is offline
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Ben Tate on the move? http://t.co/5IK60yQn -- Dave Richard (@daverichard)
Other than a draft pick, what the does CLE have to offer? The only way I'd give up Tate for a draft pick is if it's for a #1 and I doubt CLE would do that. Guess I'd consider Little, but it's not like he's proven and I'm not sure CLE would even give him up.
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  #8  
Old 03-14-2012, 10:13 AM
WMH WMH is offline
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Originally Posted by popanot View Post
Other than a draft pick, what the does CLE have to offer? The only way I'd give up Tate for a draft pick is if it's for a #1 and I doubt CLE would do that. Guess I'd consider Little, but it's not like he's proven and I'm not sure CLE would even give him up.
Dunno, was surprised to see that. IF they have to retool the O-line, draft may be the only thing we can afford. CLE does have 2 1s.....
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  #9  
Old 03-14-2012, 11:11 AM
WMH WMH is offline
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Other than a draft pick, what the does CLE have to offer? The only way I'd give up Tate for a draft pick is if it's for a #1 and I doubt CLE would do that. Guess I'd consider Little, but it's not like he's proven and I'm not sure CLE would even give him up.
Ben Tate's agent has told me he can't confirm/deny there have been trade negotiations w/ his client, but it "wouldn't surprise me" he says -- Keith Britton (@KeithBritton86)
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  #10  
Old 03-14-2012, 11:14 AM
popanot popanot is offline
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Tate and our #26 for #4? Blackmon/Claiborne/or Kalil @ #4 and use our #2 on LaMicheal James - or OL and Peed w/#3? It would make sense trying to get something big for Tate. Value is high and he's probably none too happy with the Foster deal.
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  #11  
Old 03-14-2012, 12:50 PM
Keith Keith is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Joshua View Post
I think it was LZ who tweeted that the Texans are in cap hell right now. What I don't understand is how.
Complicating the cap situation for 2012 is that the Texans probably expected the cap to increase far more than it did over 2011. Prior to the new CBA, I remember thinking a few years ago that I thought the 2012 cap would be closer to $140 million by this point.

The Texans never thought it would be that high this year, but it only jumped less than a half million. That's got to be less than they thought.
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  #12  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:02 PM
Joshua Joshua is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keith View Post
Complicating the cap situation for 2012 is that the Texans probably expected the cap to increase far more than it did over 2011. Prior to the new CBA, I remember thinking a few years ago that I thought the 2012 cap would be closer to $140 million by this point.

The Texans never thought it would be that high this year, but it only jumped less than a half million. That's got to be less than they thought.
Admittedly, my cap knowledge is limited to say the least. However, I seem to recall it being known once the new CBA was completed that the cap would be fairly stagnant the first 2 years into the deal; i.e., 2011 and 2012. I may not be remembering this correctly though.

In any event, my biggest complaint is that of our top 12 players (or at least, my rough estimation of them), about half are underpaid, 2 are free agents this year and 3 are free agents next year. How can you be in cap hell when virtually all of your top players are on their rookie contracts, free agents or soon-to-be free agents?
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  #13  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:36 PM
Keith Keith is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Joshua View Post
How can you be in cap hell when virtually all of your top players are on their rookie contracts, free agents or soon-to-be free agents?
Because the #s add up fast.

Schaub - $10.95M
Joseph - $9.75M
Andre (pre-restructure) - $8.84M
Ninja - $8.8M
Foster - $7.9M
Manning - $5M
Walter - $3.5M
Cushing - $3.28M
Jacoby - Don't remember.
Duane - Don't remember.
Daniels - Don't remember.

This is probably ~$70 million or so. Leaves $50 million for the other 40 in the top 51. It goes fast.

ETA - The real problem at this point is Schaub's #. He is in the final year now, a perfect time to extend if the Texans are REALLY committed to the guy, i.e. not just Bob McNair giving us all lip service like he did this week when addressing Peyton rumors. If Bob really loved Schaub as much as he said, they would have extended his contract by now.
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  #14  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:47 PM
Joshua Joshua is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keith View Post
Because the #s add up fast.

Schaub - $10.95M
Joseph - $9.75M
Andre (pre-restructure) - $8.84M
Ninja - $8.8M
Foster - $7.9M
Manning - $5M
Walter - $3.5M
Cushing - $3.28M
Jacoby - Don't remember.
Duane - Don't remember.
Daniels - Don't remember.

This is probably ~$70 million or so. Leaves $50 million for the other 40 in the top 51. It goes fast.

ETA - The real problem at this point is Schaub's #. He is in the final year now, a perfect time to extend if the Texans are REALLY committed to the guy, i.e. not just Bob McNair giving us all lip service like he did this week when addressing Peyton rumors. If Bob really loved Schaub as much as he said, they would have extended his contract by now.
I get the arithmetic. And I'm not trying to bust your chops and I appreciate your responses. My point is just that I think they have potentially mismanaged the cap if half their top 12 players are underpaid yet we're still too cap strapped to even attempt to retain the few who are reaching free agency.

Every team in the league deals with the same cap. Apparently, we're in one of the worst cap shapes of any team in the league despite the bargains we're currently enjoying with Brown, Watt, Barwin, Reed, Cushing, Quin, etc.
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  #15  
Old 03-14-2012, 02:02 PM
Keith Keith is offline
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Originally Posted by Joshua View Post
I get the arithmetic. And I'm not trying to bust your chops and I appreciate your responses. My point is just that I think they have potentially mismanaged the cap if half their top 12 players are underpaid yet we're still too cap strapped to even attempt to retain the few who are reaching free agency.

Every team in the league deals with the same cap. Apparently, we're in one of the worst cap shapes of any team in the league despite the bargains we're currently enjoying with Brown, Watt, Barwin, Reed, Cushing, Quin, etc.
So two points... first, who's underpaid? Just the guys still playing their rookie contracts? That's pretty good actually. And second, pity the Texans for having so many of their draft picks live up to and exceed their draft expectations. It's a good problem to have.

So how have they mismanaged the cap? Compared to the latter half of the Casserly years, this administration has done really well. The Texans just have a lot of players on the payroll who are actually earning what they are getting paid. It finally paid off in the win column last season as well.

Just checked, the sky is not falling.
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  #16  
Old 03-14-2012, 02:30 PM
WMH WMH is offline
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In all seriousness, I truly believe that the Texans have an offer on the table for Mario, if/when he signs with Buffalo, these funds will be immediately diverted to Myers. Not saying I agree with thier priority, but I think that was what they are thinking.

The problem with all of this is timing. As we saw last year, Smith was quick to dump the Aso chase and deal with JJoe. IMO, we are in a better spot this year, as Myers likely wants to return. Hopefully, it will work out like this.

My glass is still half full......for now.
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  #17  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:48 PM
WMH WMH is offline
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[QUOTE=Keith;29626]Because the #s add up fast.

Schaub - $10.95M
Joseph - $9.75M
Andre (pre-restructure) - $8.84M
Ninja - $8.8M
Foster - $7.9M
Manning - $5M
Walter - $3.5M
Cushing - $3.28M
Jacoby - Don't remember.
Duane - Don't remember.
Daniels - Don't remember.

This is probably ~$70 million or so. Leaves $50 million for the other 40 in the top 51. It goes fast.

ETA - The real problem at this point is Schaub's #. He is in the final year now, a perfect time to extend if the Texans are REALLY committed to the guy, i.e. not just Bob McNair giving us all lip service like he did this week when addressing Peyton rumors. If Bob really loved Schaub as much as he said, they would have extended his contract by now. [QUOTE]

Only problem with this one is Schaub is not healthy. That is a huge risk. I know we've all heard the lip service from the Chronic and others, but still a risk they may not want to take.

If they want to extend anyone, I would think they would look at Antonio. He's solid, and I believe has 2 years left.

Also, remember all those restructures from last year to get JJoe and DManning? They dumped '11 money into '12, and ......Well, here we are.
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  #18  
Old 03-14-2012, 02:09 PM
Keith Keith is offline
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Quote:
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Only problem with this one is Schaub is not healthy. That is a huge risk. I know we've all heard the lip service from the Chronic and others, but still a risk they may not want to take.
Oh, I agree totally with this reasoning, just implying that McNair's praise of Schaub and reasoning for not pursuing Manning rings hollow when most teams who love their QB probably don't let him dangle in the final contract year when he realistically has several productive years left in his body.

Reality is yeah, I am nervous as heck investing in Schaub given his injury history and more immediately just how healthy he even is right now. With him healthy, this is a Super Bowl team.

The brittle tag on Schaub has often been too harsh, but missed games are missed games, and Schaub has missed a lot.
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  #19  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:49 PM
popanot popanot is offline
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ETA - The real problem at this point is Schaub's #. He is in the final year now, a perfect time to extend if the Texans are REALLY committed to the guy, i.e. not just Bob McNair giving us all lip service like he did this week when addressing Peyton rumors. If Bob really loved Schaub as much as he said, they would have extended his contract by now.
Totally agree with this. I'm actually stunned they haven't extended anyone at this point, especially Schaub. Save for Foster, it amazes me how this franchise waits until the witching hour to re-sign the guys you know they want to keep.

BTW, new tweet:
Liz Mullen‏ @SBJLizMullen -
Texans free agent Center Chris Myers is going to visit the Tennessee Titans tomorrow.

Just think how fun this offseason will be if the Titans sign Manning and Myers.
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  #20  
Old 03-14-2012, 01:59 PM
barrett barrett is offline
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I was wondering what kind of money that a #2 WR would get, you know, someone like Garcon. Well, that market has been set by Garcon, to the tune of 5 yrs, $42.5MM with $21 gtd as he signs with the Skins.

Maybe Jacoby wasn't so bad afterall
Don't see us playing in that game.
Unless Tennessee is running a zone scheme I almost hope they overpay Meyers. He will get pushed around in any traditional scheme.

The problem is when you win teams start overpaying for your guys because you made them look good. Aside from Duane brown I think OL are more plug and play than RBs in our offense.
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