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Old 11-20-2013, 02:20 PM
barrett barrett is offline
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I think my point is still being missed. I'm really not talking at all about Keenum's ability to play QB.

NFL Head coaches protect their job and how they look over almost anything else. Almost all of them are afraid to go against prevailing knowledge and only do so when they are desperate or untouchable. A new head coach could draft a QB early and they are almost guaranteed to get 3-4 years to see if that QB can play. Munchak with Locker is a good example where he they picked a QB with less talent than our UDFA, and they still get plenty of patience because they are waiting on the "potential" of the guy the franchise invested too much in to give up on. And in that situation you almost have to keep the HC because the organizational turnover makes it even less likely your top pick suceeds.

With an UDFA that didn't cost the organization anything a coach and QB can be dumped at will because there is no investment financially or in draft picks into the player. So a new coach who takes on Keenum would be saying they already have the QB to win with now. So the new coach starts with immediate expectations and a QB that he didn't pick.

Not to mention if you fail with a guy everybody likes you are forgiven to a certain degree (Shanahan could keep his job this year because who could blame him for drafting RG3), but if you fail with a guy nobody else believed in you get ridiculed (McDaniels with Tebow).

Contrast that with drafting a young and "talented" 1st round QB (who may be worse and/or less talented than Keenum). The rookie draft pick delays expectations and gives built in job security by tying them together.

These are the facts of life in the NFL. Everyone is on a non-gauranteed contract (coaches included) and eveyone is out to CYA, or at least until they get so big they are untouchable. Self interest says a new coach will replace Keenum 9 times out of 10.

I will admit the Wade angle is one I hadn't considered since I thought that any season bad enough to oust Kubiak would remove Wade from the running for HC (although I could see some strange McNair scenario where he sticks as DC). But if Wade does become HC, I could see Case staying with a Dana Hogrolson style young OC.
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