The Chase for the #1 Overall Pick

HPF Bob · #1 11-24-2013, 05:06 PM

Draft standings up to the minute:

1. Jacksonville (2-9)
1. Atlanta (2-9)
1. Houston (2-9)
4. Minnesota (2-8-1)
5. Tampa Bay (3-8)
6. Washington (3-7)* w/Monday night game to play

Keep in mind that things like head-ro-head and division records mean nothing in determining draft order. It is based on strength of schedule and the weaker your opposition, the better so I think Houston will lose any tiebreakers with Jacksonville and possibly Atlanta too.

nunusguy · #2 12-02-2013, 07:34 AM

After the completion of yesterdays NFL games, there's only one team remaining with less than 3 wins. Yup, our Texans are #1 today in projections for the
2014 NFL Draft.

HPF Bob · #3 12-02-2013, 09:41 AM

Two key games remain on the schedule for the #1 pick - Houston at the suddenly-hot Jaguars on Thursday and Atlanta-Washington the following week. A win or a tie will knock those out of contention. Tampa Bay (at 3-9) seems to be situated best to take over the bottom spot if Houston slips up and wins.

I don't think Houston will win any tiebreakers since the team with the worst (read easiest) strength of schedule is the tiebreaker.

Three overall #1 picks in 12 years. And the first two (Carr, Mario) aren't even with the team today but the 2003 first-rounder still is. Andre is to the Texans what Craig Biggio was to the Astros. Others come and go but Andre stays around and produces. Made his 900th NFL reception yesterday.

WMH · #4 12-02-2013, 10:46 AM

As long as we don't do anything stupid, like actually win a game or 2, we'll be fine. Of the others picking in the Top 5, only 1 needs a QB as badly as we do. We'll should be able to grab Bridgewater or Mariotta, if that's what the new regime wants to do (usually the case with new HC's).

I'm guessing the top 5 will likely look like: Houston, Jax, TB, Atlanta, Wash. In some order.

If for some strange reason we fall in the 2nd 5, then we could add JFF or Taj in the mix. Of course, that would mean we'd actually have to win a couple of games......

Keith · #5 12-02-2013, 12:52 PM

Split this discussion from the Mock Draft Thread. As noted, following the loss to the Patriots, the Texans are the lone 2-win team and current holders of the #1 draft selection.

Quote:

Originally Posted by WMH

I'm guessing the top 5 will likely look like: Houston, Jax, TB, Atlanta, Wash. In some order.

So, the Falcons have Matty Ice and the Redskins have RG3. Unclear how attached a new regime would be to Glennon in Tampa.

The Texans have just one home game left (Denver), so that would seem to help them keep the #1, though @JAX, @IND, and @TEN... I wouldn't count them out of winning any of those games.

popanot · #6 12-06-2013, 06:17 AM

Well, we're pretty a much a lock for that #1 now. It's so obvious we need a QB, but I hate using a #1 overall on any of the current QB's coming out (maybe pick #6 and beyond). Just our luck we'd suck the year no stud franchise QB is coming out. Here's hoping we are somehow able to trade down and suck again next year for Winston.