Playoff scenarios

[Arky]

As far as I can tell, the Texans still have a shot at a first round bye. Baltimore lost today and Pittsburgh could very well lose to SF on MNF. We have 8-2 conference record which is better than Baltimore (7-3) and Pitt (7-3). I believe if the Texans win their 2 remaining games and Baltimore falters against either Cleveland or Cincy, the Texans get the #2 seed....

[HPF Bob]

We have the head-to-head tiebreaker with Pittsburgh but Baltimore has the head-to-head over us. The problem is that if the Texans tie with both then the first elimination is between Pittsburgh and Baltimore which Baltimore wins due to a 2-0 series win over Pittsburgh which then gives Baltimore the tiebreaker over us too.

So, somehow, the Steelers have to finish a game ahead of the Ravens but manage to lose again themselves while Houston wins out in order for Houston to get a first-round bye. That means Pittsburgh and Baltimore both have to lose one more time while Houston does not.

Then it will be:

New England 13-3
Houston 12-4
Pittsburgh 12-4 (loses tiebreaker)
Baltimore 11-5 as a wild card.

In any other rational scenario, we're the #3 seed.

[nunusguy]

So if we open up with a wild-card game at Reliant I'm thinking it's looking like Cinci again or the Jets or maybe someone out of the AFC west ?

[HPF Bob]

NYJ (8-6): vs NYG, @ MIA
CIN (8-6): vs ARZ, vs BAL
TEN (7-7): vs JAX, @ HOU
OAK (7-7): @ KC, vs SD
SD (7-7): @ DET, @ OAK

Nobody has an easy road to the last playoff spot. We need to root for the Bagels to beat the Ratbirds the final weak of the season.

[cadams]

if pitt loses tonight and the pats lose one of their remaining two the texans would get the number one seed. 4 teams at 12-4, pitt out due to balt having head to head wins, then hou has best conf record between new england and baltimore

[Nconroe]

If Rithlesberger keeps throwing picks Pitt just might loose.