The Texans are actually in a decent situation with four games to play, two of them against the Jaguars. Momentum riding high.
But this is a trap game if they aren't careful. Can't look ahead to the Colts game. Can't go up 14-0 early and expect to coast.
With a little help, the Texans can finish 3-1, with two of those wins coming over the Jaguars, and have a reasonable shot at the final wild card spot. But this is a .500 team for good reason. Generally though, they've beaten the lesser teams, so as long as they avoid the trap, this should be a win.
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