I'm gonna predict that Dunta signs his tender this week. Julius Peppers has signed his, Karlos Dansby has signed his, Antonio Bryant has signed his... There are only three F-tagged players unsigned including Robinson. Terrell Suggs is supposedly close to a long-term deal. Like Dunta here, O.J. Atogwe is still
waiting for what the Rams will do (though he has attended OTAs and mini-camp).
It wouldn't surprise me at all though if the Texans left Robinson with no choice but to sign his tender. And in retrospect, if there are still lingering concerns about Robinson's health, then he missed a golden opportunity to start putting those to rest by skipping OTAs. The team probably isn't likely to rescind the F-tag like the Seahawks did with Leroy Hill (mostly because the Texans didn't pick a CB in round 1 like Seattle did in picking a LB), but it's possible.
Hard to say what kind of offer Robinson would get on the open market this close to training camp. The $10 million guaranteed now with the possibility of still getting a huge bonus next season is not a bad option for him.
So to me, the drama will be whether the team really makes any final effort to sign Dunta long-term, but I just think it's a slim possibility. The Texans don't need the cap room, and the $10 million or so that will be guaranteed to Dunta, with a chance for roughly $12 million guaranteed next year as a 2nd-year F-tag... well, it's not the end of the world for Robinson, either.
And that should be okay for both sides, at least for this year. Cooler heads ought to prevail here, and imo fans lashing out against Dunta should probably take more of a wait-and-see position for the time being. Oh, and if I were Robinson, I'd probably find new representation if no long-term deal is signed by July 15, too.