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Every QB in the league is taped/filmed yet some still manage to get the job done on Sundays for all 4 quarters. At this point in time, I'm pointing the finger at the coaching for not counter-adjusting. Not so sure the problem is Keenum and I'm really not sure what "fresh legs" has to do with it. Probably helps to have "fresh legs" when you're running for your life.... ;) Quote:
If I was a Raider fan, I'd be thrilled. I think I heard McGloin has earned another start... This is the way stars are born (seriously)...... McGloin has certainly got the league's attention after Sunday. Keenum may very well end up career backup or even a flash-in-the-pan. Just, some of us aren't so quick to slap the gavel down just yet. At this point in time, I'm betting a lot of offensive coordinators around the league would love to have him.... |
The frustrating part is Keenum will likely be part of this team next year whether it's in a starting role or backup role, and anyone not named Gary Kubiak knows Schaub's time is done. Keenum should be playing as much as possible in every imaginable game situation as to prepare him for next year. Kubiak's decision to put Schaub in the game was incredibly arrogant, naïve, totally uncalled for and unproductive and he should have been fired for it.
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p.s. - those "well-respected" Astros just got dissed on Jeopardy!, Chuck.
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/20...ardy-question/ |
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Case is 6'1" which is not really short. There are other successful QB's even shorter right now and most of big names in past were shorter than this. Taller does not mean better. Not at all fast, in what way?, he seems to have plenty of escapability and movement to avoid lots of trouble and has some good runs for gains. This seems kind of a off base complaint to me, not what my eyes have seen. Recognizing the blitz - could be, maybe, I suppose lots of QBs have lots to learn their first year or two in the league. Seems the OL and RB whiffing on blocks is a worse concern. I mean what I've seen is Defense is on Keenum really quick on some of these plays. Seems more than fixable with experience. Accuracy and arm strength seem pretty good from what I've seen. Team leadership is also pretty high it appears. Local cult hero, perhaps for some? not to me since I didn't go to UH. I do think a new coach would possibly want his own choice in there, whether Case gets to compete, not sure. I am glad Keenum is the starter this coming weekend and hope that continues the rest of the year so we can see more before all these decisions need to be made. |
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BUT, my dings against Case are likely the same one an incoming coach would have. Based on the sample size, would you rather have Case, Mariotta, Bridgewater, JFF, Taj Boyd, etc? I'm of the opinion that Case would lose that battle with all of them if anyone but Kubiak is making the decision. |
I don't think there is any question the Texans will draft a QB next year and that QB will compete for the starting job regardless how well Keenum does or who is here as far as QB and/or coaching staff. When to draft one is up for debate, but it would be absolutely foolish for this franchise NOT to draft a QB. Here's what we know...
Schaub = Out - No way the fans let McNair off the hook with Schaub Yates = Out - Yates who? I'm nearly as confident in saying he's gone just as much as I'm am saying Schaub is gone Keenum = Unknown - Way too many playing and coaching factors to determine his future right now FA QB = Doubtful - Cutler's the only starting-level FA QB I know of at this time and who wants him? Weeden, Vick, Blabbert??? Bleh!! If you look at the above, we'll definitely need 1 or 2 more QBs and the draft or a trade (Cousins - or to a lesser extent RG3, maybe?) are the only viable options. |
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It does look like Bridgewater and Mariota are becoming near consensus top two picks at this time, both of these guys are kind of skinny at 210 pounds. You forgot Derek Carr and Johnny Manziel. And agree we will likely draft a QB somewhere in top 3 rounds. some info on top qb's here, some you mentioned are shorter than Case. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1...p-qbs-fit-best |
Case is by far the best QB on the Texans right now. I am a huge fan. I got goosebumps at the Sunday night game against the Colts when he came out of the tunnel and the stadium went nuts. He needs to play every snap he is healthy for the rest of this season. I have always thought Yates was terrible and don't need to see anything out of him. Schaub should only see the field if Case goes down.
But I have seen nothing that makes me think Case is the future QB. All of the timing routes in our offense are gone. I have not seen him hit a seam route, an out that did not include a moving pocket or scramble, the deep in (AJ's bread and butter for years), and the drag has been limited (he hit Graham late off a designed roll out that turned into a scramble and an across the body throw). He doesn't pick up blitzes at all. I said that after the first week, after the second, and again now. He throws a beautiful deep ball and escapes the pocket. He is accurate on the run. Could an offense be tailored to him and those strengths? Perhaps. I think our inflexible staff has actually been very flexible with him and given him a ton of shotgun and even some pistol. He has far outplayed Schaub in his 4 starts, but we have still averaged just over 20 points per game in his starts (bottom third of the league in the BUF/STL/ARI territory). And our 2nd half output has been anemic in his 4 starts (6,3,7,and 6 that came from Schaub). WMH hit the nail on the head when he said the great improvement in QB play is more a condemnation of Schaub than an endorsenment of Case. Does all of this mean he is incapable of being an NFL QB? Not at all. But I have never seen a new HC bet his success and future on an UDFA with 10 games in the NFL. A new coach will rightfully want the right to be judged on his guy. Especially when that new coach will probably have a top 5 pick to spend. And if we are going with a high draft pick, I don't want Case on the team. You don't want a young guy who is loved in the locker room and worshipped by the fans as your backup while you develop a young QB. You want a veteran who is not a viable starting QB. Now if we went with a veteran next year, I'd love Case as competition/backup plan, but not as the guy a 1st round pick is having to look over his shoulder at. So like I said, the only way I see Case playing for this team next year is with Kubiak at the controls. Kubiak can then sell McNair on the fact that he unearthed Case, and the 1st round pick can be spent helping compete next year rather than a semi rebuild. So if Case plays great and wins half the games down the stretch (JAX 2 Xs) we may end up with Case and Gary next year. I'd rather have another QB and anybody else. |
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Not to discourage discussion, but this can better be answered in the off season..... A head-to-head competition with each can never be answered. A hypothetical would just boil down to every individual's opinions.... If we get to see Case the rest of the year, we can better evaluate him... and then, just as important, what will happen with the coaching staff? Nconroe: JFF = Johnny effin' Football |
Re: Reading the blitz - something only experience teaches and a QB from a spread offense is going to have trouble diagnosing pro defenses until he learns where the reads are in *real time*. That means playing experience and that's what Case is getting now.
Re: UDFA QB. Kinda nonsense. Would an incoming head coach turn down Tom Brady just because he was a 5th-rounder? A lot of it will depend on what type of offense a new coach wants to run. If it's a West Coast offense like Kubiak's was based on, the expereience will be a plus. If it is not, there may be other players in the offense who aren't a good fit either. p.s. - It's a shame this isn't one of those years with three can't miss QBs at the top of the draft board. I'm still solidly in the Matthews camp. |
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Oh wait...there's not one. OK. Perception is reality in the NFL. That's how the Browns fleeced Indy for a 1st for Richardson. Until a young guy accomplishes something, he is largely defined by his draft value. High draft picks who don't perform at all and get cut in their first 2 years always catch on because it is accepted they are talented and the new organization thinks they are smarter than the old one and can get performance out of them. Keenum has a limited track record of slightly above average QB play with an 0-4 record as a starter. He was passed on 7 times by every team in the league less than 2 years ago. Look at it this way. If Keenum is cut loose by the Texans this offseason do you think that an NFL team will give him a starting job. I mean pay him low starter money and enter training camp with him as their #1 QB? If not, why would a new coach who has no ties to him. A new coach will want a QB of his own. There are only a few situations where a new coach doesn't get a new QB.. 1) When he is hired to coach a contender with a star QB in place, 2) When he is hired on the strength of his ability to turn around a struggling QB who is thought to be "talented", 3) When the team is judged so bad and the QB class so weak that a team decides to fix something else first and stink for a year before getting a QB the following year. 4) Or when too much is invested (financially or in draft pick spent) in the current QB to replace him just yet. The Texans don't really fall in any of those categories. So we would need a never happened before situation where some new coach bet his career on a 3rd stringer who put together an average stretch of QB play for a team that was crashing and losing all of their games. Now if he reels off 6 wins in a row while actually scoring points in the 2nd half it is a different discussion, but it is almost certainly Kubiak as his head coach in that scenario. Basically if he wins enough to be a real consideration as the Franchise's long term QB, than he probably saves Kubiak's job. If he doesn't, no way does a new guy keep him. |
Agree with Barrett. Just don't see any way a new coach would risk his career on an undrafted QB that literally no one wanted a mere 2 years ago.
And Brady is such an exception to the rule it's pointless to even bring him up. However, if you do want to hold him up as an example, doesn't that also lead to the conclusion that we shouldn't worry about the QB position because we can just draft a future HOFer in the 6th round? |
Undrafted quarterback Jeff Garcia from San Jose State never led a team to a Super Bowl, but his staying power in the NFL makes him worthy of being on this list.****
Entering the league in 1999 after being an undrafted free agent passer who first played in the CFL after college, Garcia became the San Francisco 49ers' starting quarterback. He then went on to make four Pro Bowl appearances in 2000, 2001, 2002 and 2007—the first three with the 49ers and the final one with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
astern Illinois quarterback Tony Romo was an undrafted pickup by the Dallas Cowboys in 2003. He remained a backup on the roster until 2006, when then-starter Drew Bledsoe was injured and Romo was put in the starting position.
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------------------------------- Vandermeer reported on the radio Keenum #7 jerseys are flying off the shelves as Christmas presents.... |
1. Kurt Warner, QB, Northern Iowa
Signed by: St. Louis Rams First year: 1998 NFL seasons: 12 Pro Bowls: 4 All-Pro selections: 2 Notes: In addition to being perhaps the greatest Cinderella story in NFL history, Warner is a two-time league MVP who has posted the three best single-game passing yardage totals in Super Bowl history. |
4. Warren Moon, QB, Washington
Signed by: Houston Oilers First year: 1984 NFL seasons: 17 Pro Bowls: 9 All-Pro selections: 0 Notes: Hall of Famer ranks in the top six all-time for career attempts, completions, yards and TD passes. |
Warren Moon was an undrafted free agent who even brought along his head coach (Hugh Campbell). Kurt Warner was a UDFA. Derek Anderson was a sixth-rounder that became the starting QB both in Cleveland and Arizona.
If he continues to start, Keenum will have half a season under his belt and, if he continues his current pace, he'll finish with a 99.0 QB rating, higher this year than Schaub (77.8), higher than Stafford (92.0), Newton (91.8), Roethlisberger (91.3), Ryan (89.2), Cutler (88.4), Luck (87.0), Dalton (85.2), Brady (83.6), RG3 (83.6) and Kaepernick (81.8). But, of course, Keenum was never drafted so he'll never play again in this league. :rolleyes: To be fair, ESPN.com has the Total Quarterback Rating (QBR) and rates him at 42.5 out of 100, a ranking still better than Ryan Tannehill, Eli Manning, Matt Schaub, Terrell Pryor, Chad Henne, Geno Smith and Josh Freeman. |
Where did I say anything about UDFA QBs not being able to play? I wrote about 1000 words because I love hearing myself talk, and none of them say anything about Case not being good because he is an UDFA. I said no new coach is going to take a guy with zero track record and zero pedigree.
You can bring up Romo but it isn't even a little similar. Romo survived the Parcells to Phillips transition after starting all 16 games for a 9-7 playoff team. He was already established as the starting QB and had led a team to the playoffs when they changed coaches. Not to mention a new coach was hired because Parcells left, not because he was fired. If Case led us to the playoffs I am pretty sure he would survive a new coach. Obviously that's not happening. Tony Romo, Warren Moon, and Kurt Warner have nothing to do with whether a new coach will bet his career on a guy with no positive track record. |
To me, the question is simple. Do you think Case can become an elite QB? If not, you have to try and find one. While i think Case will likely be a serviceable QB, I'm very skeptical of him being great. We've had 8 years of serviceable quarterbacking and you saw where that got us-a damn near riot when our seviceable QB was put in the game last Sunday.
The game has changed. Between rule changes, changes in offensive philosophies, etc., I would argue that who your QB is is almost more important than who the other 52 guys on the team are. Texan fans should know this better than anyone, as we suffered through Manning and are just beginning the Luck era. |
And let me just add, if you like Case, how are you not drooling over JFF? All he has done is singlehandedly dominate the toughest conference in football as a redshirt freshman and sophomore in the offense Case ran in college. He's Case on steroids.
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All I'm saying is "don't throw him overboard just because he wasn't drafted". Give him a fair chance to win the job, which is probably the rest of 2013. Bring in another guy if you think he's better but the numbers say (at present) that Keenum is better than a lot of former high draft choices that fans drool over.
And don't judge solely on W-L record because he doesn't have the team's top TE, the team's top RB (also a UDFA if anyone recalls) and a piss-poor right side of an offensive line. However, it can be noted that every game he has played in, the Texans were close enough to win with a break or two. I don't hold him responsible for any of the four losses. |
For the record, in 2006 the Cowboys were 3-3 after 6 games - Romo replacing Bledsoe in game #6 (a loss to NYG). This was the game, Parcells made the famous quip, (paraphrasing) "Let's not go and anoint him just yet" and everyone goes "har har har, oh, that Parcells.... such a wise and funny guy". But guess who Parcells starts the rest of the year?...... that's right, Tony Romo. Dallas went 6-4 the rest of the way, Romo bobbles the FG snap against Seattle and its over. Wade Phillips, already on the staff, comes in the next year as head coach. (This is a possibility with the Texans - Wade as replacement or placeholder)....
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There is plenty to intrigue me. He has not played himself into or out of a job this year and may well do either down the stretch. If Kubiak is coming back the best option is probably Case, something else high in the draft, and an attempt at an immediate reload and hoping this year was an anomaly (from McNair's perspective). Then Kubiak and Case get a year to win a future here. But if Kubiak is not coming back it's a near gaurantee Case isn't either. He just hasn't done anything in the pros that would make a new coach tie his star to him. |
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I don't think the RG3 thing worries me a ton though. RG3 is not elusive no matter how fast he is (world class speed). He is a straight line guy. Purely in terms of running ability, Manziel looks more like a faster Russel Wilson. He does it with pump fakes and spins and reversing his field and vision. When he scrambles it is essentially Sandlot football. Griffin is straight up field without a ton of wiggle when he scrambles, so guys get way more clean shots (plus he's bad about getting out of bounds or getting down). I don't recall a ton of clean shots on Manziel in the games I've watched. I think his tendency to turn the ball over is way more concerning than anything else. |
I don't see the accuracy issues with JFF. Isn't he leading all of college football in completion percentage at around 75%? While that's not the end-all, be-all, it's hard to lead the nation in completion percentage as an inaccurate QB.
Turnovers are somewhat of a concern but I'm not sure they aren't a function of him thinking he has to come away with points every possession. He'll never say it, of course, but I suspect he wouldn't take as many chances if his defense played a little better. Admittedly this is speculation on my part. |
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There are 6 games left for Keenum to prove his worth. A lot can happen between now and then. Who knows, if the Texans win 6 or 7 games, McNair might point to the injuries as the reason for the poor season and Kubes stays. Like I've said, this discussion can be better addressed in the offseason.... |
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However, the most likely outcome is Kubiak being fired and the Texans having a top 5 pick. So it ultimately boils down to whether the new coach would rather hitch his wagon to Case or one of the QBs thought to potentially go in the top 5 (Mariota, Bridgewater, Hundley, JFF). That's the question. I'd be very surprised if any coach went with Case over one of them. |
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Um, because those guys are almost universally thought of as better pro prospects than Keenum based upon the fact that they are, by all accounts, universally thought of as 1st round picks, and Keenum was universally not considered an NFL prospect, as evidenced by him not being drafted at all and being allowed to sit untouched on the practice squad for a year.
And, I suspect you're joking about (a) Keenum having a better college career and (b) that this automatically translates into what they'll be at the next level, so I won't bother. However, here's an interesting thought experiment. Do you think we could get a top 5 pick for Keenum? The question answers itself, doesn't it? Whoever did that would get crushed. That is the trade you're essentially asking the next coach to make. |
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Statistically, Keenum had a better college career than all those guys. That's. Just. Reality. He was Heisman candidate.... He went undrafted because he was too small by NFL standards and got injured and sucked at the combine... Doesn't mean he's not a baller... Please join me in watching Keenum for the rest of the year where we may better determine if he's got what it takes.....:) Then, perhaps then we can discuss the merits of each of these can't-miss 1st round franchise QB's..... |
just to cover this way to much- so Keenum should joint this list - quite a few names one might recognize as good QBs went undrafted, some not.
http://www.footballperspective.com/m...qb-since-2003/ The table below includes all undrafted quarterbacks who started a game during the first season in which they played a game. Quarterback Year Team Age Record College Jeff Tuel 2013 BUF 22 0-1 Washington St. Max Hall 2010 ARI 25 1-2 BYU Matt Moore 2007 CAR 23 2-1 UCLA; Oregon State Brock Berlin 2007 STL 26 0-1 Florida; Miami (FL) Chad Hutchinson 2002 DAL 25 2-7 Stanford Henry Burris 2002 CHI 27 0-1 Temple Todd Bouman 2001 MIN 29 1-2 St. Cloud State Anthony Wright 2000 DAL 24 0-2 South Carolina Doug Johnson 2000 ATL 23 0-2 Florida Jake Delhomme 1999 NOR 24 1-1 La-Lafayette Jeff Garcia 1999 SFO 29 2-8 Gavilan J.C.; San Jose State Jon Kitna 1997 SEA 25 1-0 Central Washington Kelly Holcomb 1997 IND 24 0-1 Middle Tennessee State Jason Garrett 1993 DAL 27 1-0 Princeton; Columbia Brad Goebel 1991 PHI 24 0-2 Baylor Erik Kramer 1987 ATL 23 1-1 Pierce J.C. ; North Carolina State John Fourcade 1987 NOR 27 2-1 Mississippi Adrian Breen 1987 CIN 22 0-1 Morehead State Rick Neuheisel 1987 SDG 26 2-0 UCLA Ken Karcher 1987 DEN 24 2-1 Delgado CC; Notre Dame; Tulane Todd Hons 1987 DET 26 1-2 El Camino J.C.; Arizona State Bob Bleier 1987 NWE 23 1-1 Richmond Mike Hohensee 1987 CHI 26 2-0 Mount San Antonio J.C.; Minnesota Matt Stevens 1987 KAN 23 0-2 UCLA Ed Rubbert 1987 WAS 23 3-0 Louisville Shawn Halloran 1987 STL 23 1-1 Boston College Jim Crocicchia 1987 NYG 23 0-1 Pennsylvania Jeff Van Raaphorst 1987 ATL 24 0-1 Arizona State Scott Tinsley 1987 PHI 28 0-2 USC Willie Totten 1987 BUF 25 0-1 Mississippi Valley State Mike Busch 1987 NYG 25 0-1 Idaho State; South Dakota State Bobby Hebert 1985 NOR 25 2-4 Northwestern State (LA) Dieter Brock 1985 RAM 34 12-5 Jacksonville State; Auburn Warren Moon 1984 HOU 28 3-13 Washington Mike Loyd 1980 STL 24 0-1 Kansas; Tulsa; Missouri Southern State Joe Pisarcik 1977 NYG 25 4-7 New Mexico State Terry Luck 1977 CLE 25 0-1 Nebraska Jim Zorn 1976 SEA 23 2-12 Cal Poly-Pomona Don Milan 1975 GNB 26 0-1 Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo Will Cureton 1975 CLE 25 0-1 Texas A&M-Commerce J.J. Jones 1975 NYJ 23 0-1 Fisk Larry Lawrence 1974 OAK 25 1-0 Iowa; Miami (FL) Bill Demory 1973 NYJ 23 1-2 Arizona Rick Arrington 1970 PHI 23 0-1 Georgia; Tulsa Don Gault 1970 CLE 24 1-0 Hofstra Sam Wyche 1968 CIN 23 1-2 Furman Tom Sherman 1968 BOS 23 1-6 Penn State Kent Nix 1967 PIT 23 3-6 TCU John Stofa 1966 MIA 24 1-0 Buffalo Max Choboian 1966 DEN 24 3-4 Oregon; Cal State-Northridge Tom Kennedy 1966 NYG 27 0-1 Glendale CC (CA); Los Angeles State Don Breaux 1963 DEN 23 0-2 McNeese State Sam Etcheverry 1961 STL 31 4-5 Denver Tom Flores 1960 OAK 23 5-7 Fresno City J.C.; Pacific Hunter Enis 1960 DTX 24 1-0 TCU Tom Greene 1960 BOS 22 1-1 Holy Cross |
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As for an undrafted person outperforming a drafted one, sure it happens. Someone also wins the lottery or comes home from Vegas with more money than they started with. Doesn't mean the odds are good. There is a wikipedia page which lists all the starting QBs in the league. Take a look, the overwhelmingly majority were taken early in the draft. The handful of late round/undrafted starters are not exactly a who's who of guys you would want to build your team around. |
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